Ang setup: 216 na posibleng resulta
Everything here comes from one fact: three fair dice with six colours each give 6 × 6 × 6 = 216 equally likely results. Assumption namin dito ang standard payouts mula sa color game guide: 1:1 for one match, 2:1 for two, 3:1 for three. Kung iba ang payout table ng site, iba rin ang math, kaya basahin muna ang rules ng mismong laro.
Single-colour bet: ang buong math per ₱100
A ₱100 single-colour bet is worth −₱7.87 on average. Here's the full working, outcome by outcome:
| Matches | Ways (of 216) | Probability | Net sa ₱100 bet | Ways × net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 × 5 × 5 = 125 | 57.87% | −₱100 | −₱12,500 |
| 1 | 3 × 1 × 5 × 5 = 75 | 34.72% | +₱100 | +₱7,500 |
| 2 | 3 × 1 × 1 × 5 = 15 | 6.94% | +₱200 | +₱3,000 |
| 3 | 1 | 0.46% | +₱300 | +₱300 |
| Total | 216 | 100% | −₱1,700 |
Expected value = −₱1,700 ÷ 216 = −₱7.87 per ₱100 bet. As a fraction, the edge is exactly 17/216.
Bakit 42% lang ang tsansang tumama
Your colour shows up at least once in 216 − 125 = 91 results, or 42.13% of rolls. Hindi "tatlong chance" ang tatlong dice. Each die adds a chance, pero nag-o-overlap sila, kaya hindi 3 × 16.67% = 50% ang total. Below 50% ang hit rate, and most hits pay just 1:1.
Pagtaya sa 2 o 3 kulay nang sabay
Covering more colours makes you hit more often, pero hindi nito binabawasan ang house edge. Each colour is its own bet with the same −17/216 value, kaya nagdadagdag lang sila.
Dalawang kulay, tig-₱100 (₱200 total)
| Net result | Ways (of 216) | Probability | Ways × net |
|---|---|---|---|
| −₱200 (walang tama) | 64 | 29.63% | −₱12,800 |
| ₱0 (break-even) | 96 | 44.44% | ₱0 |
| +₱100 | 24 | 11.11% | +₱2,400 |
| +₱200 | 26 | 12.04% | +₱5,200 |
| +₱300 | 6 | 2.78% | +₱1,800 |
| Total | 216 | 100% | −₱3,400 |
−₱3,400 ÷ 216 = −₱15.74 per round, on ₱200 staked. Divide by the stake: ₱15.74 ÷ ₱200 = 7.87%. Same edge. Notice the 44% break-even rows: madalas "tumama" ka pero wala ka namang napanalunan, kasi binayaran lang ng isang kulay ang talo ng isa.
Tatlong kulay, tig-₱100 (₱300 total)
| Net result | Ways (of 216) | Probability | Ways × net |
|---|---|---|---|
| −₱300 | 27 | 12.50% | −₱8,100 |
| −₱100 | 81 | 37.50% | −₱8,100 |
| ₱0 | 27 | 12.50% | ₱0 |
| +₱100 | 57 | 26.39% | +₱5,700 |
| +₱200 | 18 | 8.33% | +₱3,600 |
| +₱300 | 6 | 2.78% | +₱1,800 |
| Total | 216 | 100% | −₱5,100 |
−₱5,100 ÷ 216 = −₱23.61 per round, on ₱300 staked. Again 7.87%.
Summary: mas maraming kulay, mas malaking expected loss
| Kulay na tinayaan (₱100 each) | Total stake | At least one hit | Expected loss per round | Edge per peso |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ₱100 | 42.13% | ₱7.87 | 7.87% |
| 2 | ₱200 | 70.37% | ₱15.74 | 7.87% |
| 3 | ₱300 | 87.50% | ₱23.61 | 7.87% |
| 6 (lahat) | ₱600 | 100% | ₱47.22 | 7.87% |
The all-six row shows it clearly. If you bet ₱100 on every colour, you can never come out ahead. Three different colours (120 of 216 results) leave you at ₱0. A pair (90 results) costs ₱100. Three of a kind (6 results) costs ₱200. Average: −₱10,200 ÷ 216 = −₱47.22. "Covering the board" just buys a guaranteed slow loss.
Worked example: 100 rounds sa ₱20
A 100-round session at ₱20 per round costs about ₱157 on average. Here's the working:
- Total wagered: 100 × ₱20 = ₱2,000. Kahit ₱500 lang ang dala mo, umiikot ang pera, so you can easily wager ₱2,000.
- Expected loss: ₱2,000 × 17/216 = ₱157.41.
- Per round: ₱20 × 7.87% = about ₱1.57, every single round.
At typical online speeds, 100 rounds can go by quickly. That's why a timer matters as much as a budget. Our color game tips show how to set both.
Variance: bakit iba-iba ang bawat session
The house edge tells you the average. Variance tells you how far one night can stray from it. For a ₱1 single-colour bet, the standard deviation is about ₱1.11 per round (variance = 269/216 − (17/216)² ≈ 1.239). That's large compared with the ₱0.079 average loss, kaya malaki ang swings sa maikling session.
Ganito ang itsura sa ₱20 per round. The "chance to be ahead" column comes from computing the exact distribution of all outcomes, not from a simulation:
| Rounds | Total wagered | Expected loss | Typical swing (1 SD) | Chance na ahead ka sa dulo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | ₱200 | ₱15.74 | ± ₱70.40 | 34.7% |
| 100 | ₱2,000 | ₱157.41 | ± ₱222.64 | 22.5% |
| 1,000 | ₱20,000 | ₱1,574.07 | ± ₱704.04 | 1.3% |
Read it this way. The expected loss grows with every round (×10 rounds = ×10 loss). The swing grows more slowly (×10 rounds = only about ×3.16 swing). Kaya sa 10 rounds, swerte ang mas malakas. Sa 1,000 rounds, halos laging nananalo ang math.
After 100 rounds at ₱20, about 74.7% of sessions end behind, 2.7% end exactly even, and 22.5% end ahead. About 44.5% lose ₱200 or more, and 14.8% lose ₱400 or more. Normal yan. It's the same game producing different nights.
Ano ang ibig sabihin nito para sa budget mo
Treat the expected loss as the price of the entertainment, and plan around it. A few practical takeaways:
- Budget per round, not per night. At ₱20 a round, think "₱1.57 per round ang cost," then decide how many rounds you actually want.
- Fewer colours, smaller stake. Multi-colour betting feels safer because you hit more often. It actually raises your cost per round.
- Practice for free. Our free color game demo lets you watch variance happen without spending.
- Compare games honestly. A 7.87% edge is steep next to many slots. See our slots RTP explainer for how RTP and house edge relate.
Kung maglalaro ka online, siguraduhing licensed ang site at sa cashier lang mag-deposit. Our GCash color game safety guide and color game legal guide cover that part. For habits that keep it fun, see Laro Nang Tama.
Kung hindi na masaya
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FAQ
Bakit hindi 50/50 ang color game kahit tatlo ang dice?
Kasi 42.13% lang ng 216 na posibleng resulta ang may kahit isang tama ang kulay mo. Sa natitirang 57.87%, wala kang tama, at kapag tumama ka, kadalasan isang beses lang at 1:1 lang ang bayad.
Bumababa ba ang house edge kung tatlong kulay ang tayaan ko?
Hindi. Bawat kulay ay hiwalay na taya na may parehong 7.87% edge. Mas madalas kang may tatama, pero mas malaki ang total na taya mo, kaya ang expected loss per round ay ₱23.61 kada ₱300 na nakataya sa tatlong kulay na tig-₱100.
Magkano ang expected loss sa 100 rounds na tig-₱20?
₱2,000 ang total na taya, kaya ang expected loss ay ₱2,000 × 17/216, o mga ₱157.41. Ito ay average lang. Sa totoong session, pwedeng mas malaki o mas maliit, pero mga 75% ng ganitong session ay nagtatapos nang talo.
Pwede bang maging positive ang odds kung tama ang timing?
Hindi. Ang bawat roll ay independent at pareho ang odds, kaya walang timing o pattern na nagbabago sa 7.87% na house edge.
Kassandra Marcos is SugarFun's lead reviewer. She checks every site against PAGCOR's official list and writes our game and responsible gaming guides. How we test